Thursday, January 06, 2011

Pre Race

We're off to Tauranga/the Mount tomorrow for the BIG EVENT.

My training's been OK this year, but probably a little down overall from last year- it seems the hectic pace of lawyering in Auckland may have worked for me! I'm also a little bit fat, much as I'd like to deny it. And my traditional race benchmarks have been, to be honest, a bit crap. So there's every reason to feel a little pessimistic about Tauranga, and I do.

But not TOO pessimistic. Just because I don't think I'll be quite doing "what I'm capable of" (actually, that's probably exactly what I'll do.....) doesn't mean I don't feel like I have a solid performance in me. I've been pretty open about the fact that doing Tauranga is about pretty much one thing- sub 6. And I've done enough that, even though sub 6 would be a 17 minute improvement on my best half ironman so far and a 29 minute improvement on my last, sub 6 should pretty much be cake. I'll be honest here- I'll be gutted with a finishing time that doesn't start with a 5.

Here are some goals/predictions:

Swim: anything under 40 is fine by me, but under 38 would be preferable, and a sub 37 would be awesome. If I could exit and get out on the bike by 41:00, I'd be chuffed.

Bike: I really, really, really, really want to break 3 hours, and I know I SHOULD be able to. Believing I can is a whole nother story. I'm still not riding the way I feel I should be, and I only just averaged 30kph over 40km at Tinman. Still, I'm hanging out for a 2:59:xx, and I'll be disappointed with anything over 3:05 (...aside from punctures... knock wood). 3:00 plus 40 plus 2:30 for transitions would give me nearly 2:20 for the run...

Run: I really, really, really, really want to break 2:00 in the run. I mean REALLY. But the Mount Track is actually kinda hard. And I kinda want to have nothing left at ALL after my epic 2:4x bike, so 2:05 to 2:10 would be OK. My previous half times are 2:13, 2:06 and 2:04, on quite tough but possibly short courses, so a sub 2:00 would be pushing it, but isn't totally unrealistic.

Based on these times, I'll most likely finish somewhere between 5:40 and 5:55. And that's probably my happy zone. Anything sub 5:40 and I'll be whooping for joy.

I'll be computer free for the next few days, but look out for twitter updates (NOT during the race this time, at least not from me!)

8 comments:

racheyachey said...

Crikey girl, if I can break 5.40, you're an absolute shoe-in! I have every confidence that you're about to have your day in the sun. :-)

I find I have my best outcomes when I go into something with an element of pessimism - not sure of the psychology behind that approach, but it works for me!

Have a GREAT race, can't wait to hear how it goes.

Mike said...

Sounds like one of my posts! :)haha (except for the Sub38 swim!!!)

You CAN get Sub6!!! Even I went Sub6 at Tauranga (years ago, so no pressure!) and you've wiped the floor with me at Rotorua!

So Sub6 for you and Sub5(?) for Speedy Gonzales.

Good Luck to you both!!!!!!!!!

Theresa @ActiveEggplant said...

Aaaahh! Good luck and have fun! Can't wait to hear how it goes!

Tina @ Faith Fitness Fun said...

Good luck!!! Sounds like you are ready!

valen said...

that sounds like a great plan... hope it goes well...
PS what's your number so we can cheer for you when we see you.

Lisa (bakebikeblog) said...

GOOD LUCk!!! Cant wait to hear how it goes - I just KNOW that you will ROCK this race!!!!

Westy said...

Just caught this Blog,
You'll be just about to start the swim I think.
You defo have it in you Kate...!
Now lets see if they have athlete tracker?!?

Kate said...

@valen: sorry I missed this- my number was 132, but guess I'm too late. Did you see me?